FC Real (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000P8GU -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 11.84  0.03  0.25%

    FC Real probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of FC Real Estate Equity LS B EUR Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify FC Real time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FC Real odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
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    FC Real Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.84 30 days 11.84  ABOUT 30.0%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of FC Real to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 30.0% (This FC Real Estate Equity LS B EUR Acc probability density function shows the probability of FC Real Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, FC Real has beta of 0.0352 suggesting as returns on market go up, FC Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding FC Real Estate Equity LS B EUR Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FC Real Estate Equity LS B EUR Acc has an alpha of 0.1074 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1074% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     FC Real Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.11
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0352
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.20
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.65

    FC Real Alerts

    FC Real Alerts and Suggestions

    FC Real Estate is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    FC Real Estate generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 78.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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