Invesco Sterling (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000P968 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,048  0.00  0.00%

    Invesco Sterling probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Invesco Sterling Bond C performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Invesco Sterling time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Invesco Sterling odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Invesco Sterling Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,048 30 days 1,048  ABOUT 26.1%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Sterling to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 26.1% (This Invesco Sterling Bond C probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Sterling Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Invesco Sterling has beta of 0.1166 suggesting as returns on market go up, Invesco Sterling average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Sterling Bond C will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Sterling Bond C has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Invesco Sterling Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.13
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.12
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =542.62
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.41

    Invesco Sterling Alerts

    Invesco Sterling Alerts and Suggestions
    Invesco Sterling generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 30.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.