UTI Long (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000PDLD -- India Fund  

    INR 22.73  0.08  0.35%

    UTI Long probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of UTI Long Term Equity Dir Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify UTI Long time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like UTI Long odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    UTI Long Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     22.73 30 days 22.73  ABOUT 52.52%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of UTI Long to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 52.52% (This UTI Long Term Equity Dir Div probability density function shows the probability of UTI Long Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, UTI Long Term Equity Dir Div has beta of -0.2641 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding UTI Long are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, UTI Long Term Equity Dir Div is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UTI Long Term Equity Dir Div has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     UTI Long Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.34
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.26
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =6.43
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.05

    UTI Long Alerts

    UTI Long Alerts and Suggestions

    UTI Long Term is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    UTI Long Term generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 5.94% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    UTI Long Health Indicators

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