Birla Sun (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000PDQY -- India Fund  

    INR 145.25  0.09  0.06%

    Birla Sun probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Birla Sun Life Trs Optimizer Dir Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Birla Sun time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Birla Sun odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Birla Sun Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     145.25 30 days 145.25  ABOUT 30.63%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Birla Sun to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 30.63% (This Birla Sun Life Trs Optimizer Dir Div probability density function shows the probability of Birla Sun Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Birla Sun Life Trs Optimizer Dir Div has beta of -0.1334 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Birla Sun are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Birla Sun Life Trs Optimizer Dir Div is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Birla Sun Life Trs Optimizer Dir Div has an alpha of 0.0822 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0822% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Birla Sun Price Density 
    Current Price   Target Price   
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.13
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.25

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    The fund retains about 10.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

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    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.