Birla Sun (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000PDQY -- India Fund  

    INR 147.39  0.14  0.09%

    Birla Sun probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Birla Sun Life Trs Optimizer Dir Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Birla Sun time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Birla Sun odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Birla Sun Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     147.39 30 days 147.39  ABOUT 37.34%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Birla Sun to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 37.34% (This Birla Sun Life Trs Optimizer Dir Div probability density function shows the probability of Birla Sun Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Birla Sun Life Trs Optimizer Dir Div has beta of -0.0366 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Birla Sun are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Birla Sun Life Trs Optimizer Dir Div is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Birla Sun Life is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Birla Sun Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.07
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.04
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =37.18
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.18

    Birla Sun Alerts

    Birla Sun Alerts and Suggestions

    Birla Sun Life is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 10.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Birla Sun Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
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