DSP Blackrock (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

F00000PDU5 -- India Fund  

INR 23.69  0.66  2.71%

DSP Blackrock probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of DSP Blackrock Focus 25 Dir Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify DSP Blackrock time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like DSP Blackrock odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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DSP Blackrock Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 23.69 30 days 23.69  ABOUT 31.44%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of DSP Blackrock to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 31.44% (This DSP Blackrock Focus 25 Dir Div probability density function shows the probability of DSP Blackrock Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, DSP Blackrock Focus 25 Dir Div has beta of -0.5828 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding DSP Blackrock are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, DSP Blackrock Focus 25 Dir Div is likely to outperform the market. Additionally DSP Blackrock Focus 25 Dir Div has an alpha of 0.1955 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1955% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 DSP Blackrock Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.20
β
Beta against DOW=0.58
σ
Overall volatility
=9.27
Ir
Information ratio =0.07

DSP Blackrock Alerts

DSP Blackrock Alerts and Suggestions

The fund retains 98.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
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