DSP Blackrock (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

F00000PDU5 -- India Fund  

INR 21.81  0.26  1.18%

DSP Blackrock probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of DSP Blackrock Focus 25 Dir Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify DSP Blackrock time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like DSP Blackrock odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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DSP Blackrock Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 21.81 30 days 21.81  ABOUT 43.25%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of DSP Blackrock to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 43.25% (This DSP Blackrock Focus 25 Dir Div probability density function shows the probability of DSP Blackrock Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, DSP Blackrock has beta of 0.7333 suggesting as returns on market go up, DSP Blackrock average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding DSP Blackrock Focus 25 Dir Div will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally DSP Blackrock Focus 25 Dir Div has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 DSP Blackrock Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.11
β
Beta against DOW=0.73
σ
Overall volatility
=8.32
Ir
Information ratio =0.06

DSP Blackrock Alerts

DSP Blackrock Alerts and Suggestions

DSP Blackrock Focus is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
The fund retains 98.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Price Density Drivers

DSP Blackrock Health Indicators

Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
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