Vanguard US (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000PKSJ -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 32,120  144.00  0.45%

    Vanguard US probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Vanguard US Eq Idx Common Cntrctul Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Vanguard US time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vanguard US odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Vanguard US Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     32,120 30 days 32,120  ABOUT 16.12%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 16.12% (This Vanguard US Eq Idx Common Cntrctul Acc probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Vanguard US Eq Idx Common Cntrctul Acc has beta of -0.8855 suggesting Additionally Vanguard US Eq Idx Common Cntrctul Acc has an alpha of 0.9502 implying that it can potentially generate 0.9502% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Vanguard US Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.95
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.89
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =14,946
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.26

    Vanguard US Alerts

    Vanguard US Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains 99.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Quick Import module to import or update all your transactions via one easy-to-use interface.