Vanguard (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    Vanguard probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Vanguard US Eq Idx Common Cntrctul Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Vanguard time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vanguard odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Vanguard Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     0.00 30 days 0.00  ABOUT 92.35%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 92.35% (This Vanguard US Eq Idx Common Cntrctul Acc probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Vanguard US Eq Idx Common Cntrctul Acc has beta of -0.3914 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Vanguard are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Vanguard US Eq Idx Common Cntrctul Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vanguard US Eq Idx Common Cntrctul Acc has an alpha of 0.9222 implying that it can potentially generate 0.9222% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Vanguard Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.92
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.39
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =14,492
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.45

    Vanguard Alerts

    Vanguard Alerts and Suggestions

    Vanguard US Eq is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Vanguard US Eq generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Vanguard US Eq has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
    The fund retains 99.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
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