GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000QBNR -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 28.34  0.38  1.36%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     28.34 30 days 28.34  ABOUT 20.53%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.53% (This GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star has beta of 0.2763 suggesting as returns on market go up, GAM Star average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     GAM Star Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.1
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.28
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =14.49
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.16

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains 99.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. drill down to check world indexes.
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