GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QBNR -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 25.96  0.37  1.45%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     25.96 30 days 25.96  ABOUT 30.61%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 30.61% (This GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc has beta of -0.0519 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GAM Star are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, GAM Star Japan Equity Z USD Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. GAM Star Japan is significantly underperforming DOW.
     GAM Star Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.03
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.05
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =13.42
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.1

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star Japan is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 99.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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