R Parus (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000QDRM -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 129.63  1.96  1.54%

    R Parus probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of R Parus I Euro Unhedged performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify R Parus time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like R Parus odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    R Parus Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     129.63 30 days 129.63  ABOUT 20.87%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of R Parus to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.87% (This R Parus I Euro Unhedged probability density function shows the probability of R Parus Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, R Parus has beta of 0.1642 suggesting as returns on market go up, R Parus average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding R Parus I Euro Unhedged will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally R Parus I Euro Unhedged has an alpha of 0.0735 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0735% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     R Parus Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.07
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.16
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =65.71
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.07

    Current Sentiment - F00000QDRM

    R Parus I Investor Sentiment
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    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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