Mediolanum (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QFBM -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 5.53  0.06  1.07%

    Mediolanum probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Mediolanum BB Infrastructure Oppo ColLHA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Mediolanum time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Mediolanum odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Mediolanum Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     5.53 30 days 5.53  ABOUT 30.49%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Mediolanum to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 30.49% (This Mediolanum BB Infrastructure Oppo ColLHA probability density function shows the probability of Mediolanum Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Mediolanum BB Infrastructure Oppo ColLHA has beta of -0.0083 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Mediolanum are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Mediolanum BB Infrastructure Oppo ColLHA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0562 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0562% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Mediolanum Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.06
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0083
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =2.56
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.26

    Mediolanum Alerts

    Mediolanum Alerts and Suggestions

    Mediolanum BB Infras is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 7.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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