Motilal Oswal (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QFUX -- India Fund  

    INR 13.08  0.01  0.08%

    Motilal Oswal probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Motilal Oswal time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Motilal Oswal odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Motilal Oswal Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.08 30 days 13.08  ABOUT 41.2%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Motilal Oswal to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 41.2% (This Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr probability density function shows the probability of Motilal Oswal Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr has beta of -0.0609 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Motilal Oswal are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Motilal Oswal MOSt is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Motilal Oswal Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.04
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.06
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =3.91
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.11

    Motilal Oswal Alerts

    Motilal Oswal Alerts and Suggestions

    Motilal Oswal MOSt is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Motilal Oswal Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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