Motilal Oswal (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QFUX -- India Fund  

    INR 13.75  13.75  9,223,372,036,855%

    Motilal Oswal probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Motilal Oswal time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Motilal Oswal odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Motilal Oswal Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.75 30 days 13.75  ABOUT 28.57%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Motilal Oswal to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 28.57% (This Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr probability density function shows the probability of Motilal Oswal Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Motilal Oswal has beta of 0.0802 suggesting as returns on market go up, Motilal Oswal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr has an alpha of 0.0503 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0503% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Motilal Oswal Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.05
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.08
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.81
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.17

    Motilal Oswal Alerts

    Motilal Oswal Alerts and Suggestions

    Motilal Oswal MOSt has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
    The fund retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
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