Motilal Oswal (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QFUX -- India Fund  

    INR 13.08  0.01  0.08%

    Motilal Oswal probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Motilal Oswal time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Motilal Oswal odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Motilal Oswal Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.08 30 days 13.08  ABOUT 41.2%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Motilal Oswal to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 41.2% (This Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr probability density function shows the probability of Motilal Oswal Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr has beta of -0.0609 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Motilal Oswal are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Motilal Oswal MOSt Ultra ST Reg Gr is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Motilal Oswal MOSt is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Motilal Oswal Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.06
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.11

    Motilal Oswal Alerts

    Motilal Oswal Alerts and Suggestions

    Motilal Oswal MOSt is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 100.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Motilal Oswal Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.