GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QH8U -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,004  1.00  0.1%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Abs Ret Bd Defender I performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,004 30 days 1,004  ABOUT 21.02%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 21.02% (This GAM Star Abs Ret Bd Defender I probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star Abs Ret Bd Defender I has beta of -0.0265 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GAM Star are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, GAM Star Abs Ret Bd Defender I is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GAM Star Abs Ret Bd Defender I has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     GAM Star Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.05
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.03
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =507.07
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.64

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