GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QH8U -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,004  1.00  0.1%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Abs Ret Bd Defender I performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,004 30 days 1,004  ABOUT 22.74%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.74% (This GAM Star Abs Ret Bd Defender I probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star has beta of 0.0033 suggesting as returns on market go up, GAM Star average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GAM Star Abs Ret Bd Defender I will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GAM Star Abs Ret Bd Defender I has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     GAM Star Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.04
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0033
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =495.32
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.49

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star Abs is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    GAM Star Abs generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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