GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QIG2 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 14.10  0.00  0.00%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Cat Bond Instl USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     14.10 30 days 14.10  ABOUT 19.24%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.24% (This GAM Star Cat Bond Instl USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star has beta of 0.0127 suggesting as returns on market go up, GAM Star average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GAM Star Cat Bond Instl USD Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1746 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1746% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     GAM Star Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.0127
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.49

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star Cat is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 33.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.