GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QIG2 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 14.04  0.00  0.00%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Cat Bond Instl USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     14.04 30 days 14.04  ABOUT 12.42%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 12.42% (This GAM Star Cat Bond Instl USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star Cat Bond Instl USD Acc has beta of -0.0714 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GAM Star are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, GAM Star Cat Bond Instl USD Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GAM Star Cat Bond Instl USD AccIt does not look like GAM Star alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
     GAM Star Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.00
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.07
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.1
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.00

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    The fund retains about 33.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
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