Janus US (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QM83 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 15.25  0.66  4.15%

    Janus US probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Janus US Twenty U EUR Acc Hedged performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Janus US time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Janus US odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Janus US Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     15.25 30 days 15.25  ABOUT 36.94%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Janus US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 36.94% (This Janus US Twenty U EUR Acc Hedged probability density function shows the probability of Janus US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Janus US Twenty U EUR Acc Hedged has beta of -0.8804 suggesting Additionally Janus US Twenty U EUR Acc Hedged has an alpha of 0.187 implying that it can potentially generate 0.187% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Janus US Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.19
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.88
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.89
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.12

    Janus US Alerts

    Janus US Alerts and Suggestions

    Janus US Twenty is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Janus US Twenty generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Janus US Twenty has high historical volatility and very poor performance
    The fund retains 98.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Janus US Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Chance of Distress module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
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