Old Mutual (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000QQD8 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,309  36.00  2.68%

    Old Mutual probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Old Mutual US Dividend U1 GBP Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Old Mutual time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Old Mutual odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Old Mutual Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,309 30 days 1,309  ABOUT 28.92%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Old Mutual to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 28.92% (This Old Mutual US Dividend U1 GBP Acc probability density function shows the probability of Old Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Old Mutual has beta of 0.0896 suggesting as returns on market go up, Old Mutual average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Old Mutual US Dividend U1 GBP Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3143 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3143% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Old Mutual Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.31
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.09
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =727.37
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.19

    Old Mutual Alerts and Suggestions

    Old Mutual US is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 97.27% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
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