Montag Caldwell (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000SCCX -- Ireland Fund  

     1,808  40.00  2.16%

    Montag Caldwell probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Montag Caldwell US Eq Lg Cap Gr GR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Montag Caldwell time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Montag Caldwell odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
    Refresh Odds

    Montag Caldwell Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,808 30 days 1,808  MORE THAN 93.0%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Montag Caldwell to move above current price in 30 days from now is more than 93.0% (This Montag Caldwell US Eq Lg Cap Gr GR probability density function shows the probability of Montag Caldwell Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Montag Caldwell has beta of 0.2552 suggesting as returns on market go up, Montag Caldwell average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Montag Caldwell US Eq Lg Cap Gr GR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Montag Caldwell US is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Montag Caldwell Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.74
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.26
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =53.21
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.23

    Montag Caldwell Alerts and Suggestions

    Montag Caldwell US is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Search macroaxis.com