Montag Caldwell (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000SCCX -- Ireland Fund  

     1,808  40.00  2.16%

    Montag Caldwell probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Montag Caldwell US Eq Lg Cap Gr GR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Montag Caldwell time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Montag Caldwell odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Montag Caldwell Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,808 30 days 1,808  MORE THAN 93.0%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Montag Caldwell to move above current price in 30 days from now is more than 93.0% (This Montag Caldwell US Eq Lg Cap Gr GR probability density function shows the probability of Montag Caldwell Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Montag Caldwell US Eq Lg Cap Gr GR has beta of -0.0546 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Montag Caldwell are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Montag Caldwell US Eq Lg Cap Gr GR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Montag Caldwell US Eq Lg Cap Gr GR has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Montag Caldwell Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.72
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.05
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =53.21
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.15

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