Old Mutual (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000SJSW -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,222  3.00  0.25%

    Old Mutual probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Old Mutual European Best Ideas performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Old Mutual time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Old Mutual odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Old Mutual Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,222 30 days 1,222  ABOUT 23.9%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Old Mutual to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.9% (This Old Mutual European Best Ideas probability density function shows the probability of Old Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Old Mutual has beta of 0.0784 suggesting as returns on market go up, Old Mutual average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Old Mutual European Best Ideas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Old Mutual European Best Ideas has an alpha of 0.0433 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0433% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Old Mutual Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.043296
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.08
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =610.25
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.35

    Old Mutual Alerts

    Old Mutual Alerts and Suggestions

    Old Mutual European is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 8.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Fundamentals Matrix module to view fundamentals matrix and analyze how accounts are interrelated and interconnected with each other.
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