|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 1,222 ||30 days|| 1,222 || ABOUT 23.9%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Old Mutual to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.9% (This Old Mutual European Best Ideas probability density function shows the probability of Old Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Old Mutual has beta of 0.0784 suggesting as returns on market go up, Old Mutual average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Old Mutual European Best Ideas will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Old Mutual European Best Ideas has an alpha of 0.0433 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0433% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).