|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 1,194 ||30 days|| 1,194 || ABOUT 22.6%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Old Mutual to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.6% (This Old Mutual Local Ccy EM Dbt U2 GBP Acc probability density function shows the probability of Old Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Old Mutual has beta of 0.3356 suggesting as returns on market go up, Old Mutual average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Old Mutual Local Ccy EM Dbt U2 GBP Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Old Mutual Local Ccy EM Dbt U2 GBP Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
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