|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 10,234 ||30 days|| 10,234 || ABOUT 19.42%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.42% (This Vanguard US Gov Bond Index GBP Hg Acc probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Vanguard US Gov Bond Index GBP Hg Acc has beta of -0.005 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Vanguard are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Vanguard US Gov Bond Index GBP Hg Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vanguard US Gov Bond Index GBP Hg Acc has an alpha of 0.0242 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0242% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
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