Vanguard (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000SK63 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 10,492  6.00  0.06%

    Vanguard probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Vanguard US Gov Bond Index GBP Hg Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Vanguard time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Vanguard odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Vanguard Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10,492 30 days 10,492  ABOUT 27.35%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.35% (This Vanguard US Gov Bond Index GBP Hg Acc probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Vanguard has beta of 0.0 suggesting the returns on DOW and Vanguard do not appear to be sensible. Additionally It does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
     Vanguard Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.00
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4,596
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.00

    Vanguard Alerts and Suggestions

    Vanguard US Gov is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Vanguard US Gov generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 96.9% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

    VanguardPrice Density Drivers

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