|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 10,355 ||30 days|| 10,355 || ABOUT 19.36%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.36% (This Vanguard US Gov Bond Index GBP Hg Acc probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Vanguard US has beta of 0.0 suggesting unless we do not have required data, the returns on DOW and Vanguard US are completely uncorrelated. Additionally Vanguard US Gov Bond Index GBP Hg AccIt does not look like Vanguard US alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
Vanguard US Price Density
| || |
|Current Price || ||Target Price || |