FundLogic MS (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000TE6U -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 1,057  0.36  0.0341%

    FundLogic MS probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of FundLogic MS TCW Uncons Pls Bd P EUR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify FundLogic MS time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FundLogic MS odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    FundLogic MS Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,057 30 days 1,057  MORE THAN 93.0%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of FundLogic MS to move above current price in 30 days from now is more than 93.0% (This FundLogic MS TCW Uncons Pls Bd P EUR probability density function shows the probability of FundLogic MS Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, FundLogic MS has beta of 0.0028 suggesting as returns on market go up, FundLogic MS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding FundLogic MS TCW Uncons Pls Bd P EUR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally FundLogic MS TCW Uncons Pls Bd P EUR has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     FundLogic MS Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.01
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0028
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.18
    Ir
    Information ratio =5.68

    FundLogic MS Alerts

    FundLogic MS Alerts and Suggestions
    FundLogic MS TCW generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
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