Old Mutual (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000TG3C -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 1.28  0.00  0.00%

    Old Mutual probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Old Mutual Global Eq AR A Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Old Mutual time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Old Mutual odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Old Mutual Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1.28 30 days 1.28  ABOUT 19.61%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Old Mutual to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.61% (This Old Mutual Global Eq AR A Acc probability density function shows the probability of Old Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Old Mutual Global Eq AR A Acc has beta of -0.1702 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Old Mutual are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Old Mutual Global Eq AR A Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Old Mutual Global Eq AR A Acc has an alpha of 0.0772 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0772% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Old Mutual Price Density 
    Current Price   Target Price   
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.17
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.07

    Old Mutual Alerts

    Old Mutual Alerts and Suggestions

    Old Mutual Global may become a speculative penny stock
    The fund retains about 19.42% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Fundamentals Matrix module to view fundamentals matrix and analyze how accounts are interrelated and interconnected with each other.
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