Waverton Cautiousome (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000U4I2 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,063  7.00  0.65%

    Waverton Cautiousome probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Waverton Cautiousome P GBP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Waverton Cautiousome time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Waverton Cautiousome odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Waverton Cautiousome Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,063 30 days 1,063  ABOUT 30.77%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Waverton Cautiousome to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 30.77% (This Waverton Cautiousome P GBP probability density function shows the probability of Waverton Cautiousome Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Waverton Cautiousome P GBP has beta of -0.024 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Waverton Cautiousome are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Waverton Cautiousome P GBP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Waverton Cautiousome P GBP has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Waverton Cautiousome Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.01
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.02
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =544.74
    Ir
    Information ratio =1.00

    Waverton Cautiousome Alerts

    Waverton Cautiousome Alerts and Suggestions

    Waverton Cautiousome is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Waverton Cautiousome generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 18.4% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
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