|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 13.34 ||30 days|| 13.34 || ABOUT 16.46%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of HDFC ST to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 16.46% (This HDFC ST Plan Reg Normal Div probability density function shows the probability of HDFC ST Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, HDFC ST has beta of 0.0557 suggesting as returns on market go up, HDFC ST average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding HDFC ST Plan Reg Normal Div will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally HDFC ST Plan Reg Normal Div has an alpha of 0.1168 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1168% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).