Polar Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000UPXN -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 11.55  0.20  1.70%

    Polar Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Polar Capital European Income S Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Polar Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Polar Capital odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Polar Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.55 30 days 11.55  ABOUT 41.17%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Polar Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 41.17% (This Polar Capital European Income S Acc probability density function shows the probability of Polar Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Polar Capital has beta of 0.0065 suggesting as returns on market go up, Polar Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Polar Capital European Income S Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Polar Capital European is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Polar Capital Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.17
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0065
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4.54
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.24

    Polar Capital Alerts

    Polar Capital Alerts and Suggestions

    Polar Capital is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Polar Capital generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 98.44% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Polar Capital Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing balance of power indicator and other technical ratios.
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