Polar Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000UPXN -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 12.45  0.03  0.24%

    Polar Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Polar Capital European Income S Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Polar Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Polar Capital odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Polar Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     12.45 30 days 12.45  ABOUT 25.58%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Polar Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.58% (This Polar Capital European Income S Acc probability density function shows the probability of Polar Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Polar Capital has beta of 0.0713 suggesting as returns on market go up, Polar Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Polar Capital European Income S Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Polar Capital European Income S Acc has an alpha of 0.0919 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0919% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Polar Capital Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.09
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.07
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =6.39
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.005733

    Polar Capital Alerts

    Polar Capital Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains 98.44% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Piotroski F Score module to get piotroski f score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
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