Polar Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000UPXO -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 9.96  0.16  1.58%

    Polar Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Polar Capital Europeanome S performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Polar Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Polar Capital odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
    Refresh Odds

    Polar Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9.96 30 days 9.96 
    ABOUT 33.67%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Polar Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 33.67% (This Polar Capital Europeanome S probability density function shows the probability of Polar Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Polar Capital has beta of 0.0471 suggesting as returns on market go up, Polar Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Polar Capital Europeanome S will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Polar Capital European is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Polar Capital Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.22
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0471
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4.62
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.27

    Polar Capital Alerts and Suggestions

    Polar Capital is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Polar Capital generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 98.44% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Polar CapitalPrice Density Drivers

    Search macroaxis.com