GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000VD3Z -- Ireland Fund  

     1,841  4.00  0.22%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star North of South EM Eq Inst Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,841 30 days 1,841  ABOUT 23.94%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.94% (This GAM Star North of South EM Eq Inst Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star North of South EM Eq Inst Acc has beta of -0.3369 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GAM Star are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, GAM Star North of South EM Eq Inst Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GAM Star North of South EM Eq Inst Acc has an alpha of 0.2346 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2346% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     GAM Star Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.23
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.34
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =934.84
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.044999

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star North generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
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