GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000VD3Z -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,655  26.00  1.55%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star North of South EM Eq Inst Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,655 30 days 1,655  ABOUT 38.47%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 38.47% (This GAM Star North of South EM Eq Inst Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 7.9075 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, GAM Star will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. GAM Star North is significantly underperforming DOW.
     GAM Star Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =5.8
    β
    Beta against DOW=7.91
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =783.22
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.26

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star North is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 93.76% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    GAM StarPrice Density Drivers

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