GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000VD3Z -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,655  26.00  1.55%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star North of South EM Eq Inst Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,655 30 days 1,655  ABOUT 38.47%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 38.47% (This GAM Star North of South EM Eq Inst Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 7.9075 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average . However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, GAM Star will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. GAM Star North is significantly underperforming DOW.
     GAM Star Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=7.91
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.26

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star North is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 93.76% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    GAM StarPrice Density Drivers