Baillie Gifford (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000VPV8 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 9.44  0.04  0.42%

    Baillie Gifford probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Baillie Gifford Wldwd Em Mkts Bd B Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Baillie Gifford time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Baillie Gifford odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Baillie Gifford Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9.44 30 days 9.44  ABOUT 34.96%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Baillie Gifford to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 34.96% (This Baillie Gifford Wldwd Em Mkts Bd B Acc probability density function shows the probability of Baillie Gifford Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Baillie Gifford has beta of 0.2872 suggesting as returns on market go up, Baillie Gifford average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Baillie Gifford Wldwd Em Mkts Bd B Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Baillie Gifford Wldwd is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Baillie Gifford Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.29
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.33

    Baillie Gifford Alerts and Suggestions

    Baillie Gifford is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 14.09% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash