Liontrust GF (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000VV78 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 10.07  0.18  1.82%

    Liontrust GF probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Liontrust GF Asia Income A1 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Liontrust GF time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Liontrust GF odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Liontrust GF Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.07 30 days 10.07  ABOUT 18.07%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Liontrust GF to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 18.07% (This Liontrust GF Asia Income A1 probability density function shows the probability of Liontrust GF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Liontrust GF has beta of 0.1255 suggesting as returns on market go up, Liontrust GF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Liontrust GF Asia Income A1 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Liontrust GF Asia Income A1 has an alpha of 0.1716 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1716% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Liontrust GF Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.17
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.13
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.52
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.09

    Liontrust GF Alerts

    Liontrust GF Alerts and Suggestions
    Liontrust GF Asia generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 91.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Quick Import module to import or update all your transactions via one easy-to-use interface.
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