Liontrust (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000VV78 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 9.61  0.06  0.63%

    Liontrust probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Liontrust GF Asia Income A1 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Liontrust time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Liontrust odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Liontrust Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9.61 30 days 9.61  ABOUT 26.25%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Liontrust to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 26.25% (This Liontrust GF Asia Income A1 probability density function shows the probability of Liontrust Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Liontrust GF Asia Income A1 has beta of -0.0072 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Liontrust are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Liontrust GF Asia Income A1 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Liontrust GF Asia Income A1 has an alpha of 0.0845 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0845% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Liontrust Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.08
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0072
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4.96
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.32

    Liontrust Alerts

    Liontrust Alerts and Suggestions

    Liontrust GF Asia is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 91.68% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Price Transformation module to use price transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
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