John Hancock (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000W05E -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 11.06  0.30  2.64%

    John Hancock probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of John Hancock US Large Cap Eq I USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify John Hancock time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like John Hancock odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    John Hancock Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.06 30 days 11.06  ABOUT 48.35%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of John Hancock to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 48.35% (This John Hancock US Large Cap Eq I USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of John Hancock Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, John Hancock has beta of 0.0232 suggesting as returns on market go up, John Hancock average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding John Hancock US Large Cap Eq I USD Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2284 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2284% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     John Hancock Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.23
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0232
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.75
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.14

    John Hancock Alerts

    John Hancock Alerts and Suggestions

    John Hancock US is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    John Hancock US generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
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