Northern Trust (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000W1CJ -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 13.52  0.08  0.59%

    Northern Trust probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Northern Trust U S Fdmtl Idx B performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Northern Trust time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Northern Trust odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Northern Trust Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.52 30 days 13.52  ABOUT 16.78%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Trust to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 16.78% (This Northern Trust U S Fdmtl Idx B probability density function shows the probability of Northern Trust Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Northern Trust U S Fdmtl Idx B has beta of -0.0129 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Northern Trust are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Northern Trust U S Fdmtl Idx B is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Northern Trust U S Fdmtl Idx B has an alpha of 0.7664 implying that it can potentially generate 0.7664% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Northern Trust Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.01
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.54

    Northern Trust Alerts

    Northern Trust Alerts and Suggestions

    Northern Trust U is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 99.72% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing money flow index and other technical indicators.