Polar Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000W1L3 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 1,035  6.00  0.58%

    Polar Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Polar Capital European Ex UK Inc S Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Polar Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Polar Capital odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Polar Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,035 30 days 1,035  ABOUT 26.1%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Polar Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 26.1% (This Polar Capital European Ex UK Inc S Acc probability density function shows the probability of Polar Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Polar Capital European Ex UK Inc S Acc has beta of -0.1494 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Polar Capital are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Polar Capital European Ex UK Inc S Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Polar Capital European Ex UK Inc S Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Polar Capital Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.31
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.15
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =535.95
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.4

    Polar Capital Alerts

    Polar Capital Alerts and Suggestions

    Polar Capital is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains 99.83% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
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