Polar Capital (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000W1L3 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 963.00  26.00  2.63%

    Polar Capital probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Polar Capital European Ex UK Inc S Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Polar Capital time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Polar Capital odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Polar Capital Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     963.00 30 days 963.00  ABOUT 36.8%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Polar Capital to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 36.8% (This Polar Capital European Ex UK Inc S Acc probability density function shows the probability of Polar Capital Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Polar Capital European Ex UK Inc S Acc has beta of -0.0768 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Polar Capital are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Polar Capital European Ex UK Inc S Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Polar Capital European is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Polar Capital Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.76
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.08
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =431.71
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.54

    Polar Capital Alerts

    Polar Capital Alerts and Suggestions

    Polar Capital is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Polar Capital generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 99.83% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Fundamentals Matrix module to view fundamentals matrix and analyze how accounts are interrelated and interconnected with each other.
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