Nomura Fds (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000W7WB -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 100.28  1.06  1.07%

    Nomura Fds probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Nomura Fds Emerg Mrkt Lcl Ccy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Nomura Fds time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Nomura Fds odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Nomura Fds Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     100.28 30 days 100.28  ABOUT 25.81%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Nomura Fds to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.81% (This Nomura Fds Emerg Mrkt Lcl Ccy probability density function shows the probability of Nomura Fds Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Nomura Fds Emerg Mrkt Lcl Ccy has beta of -0.0141 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Nomura Fds are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Nomura Fds Emerg Mrkt Lcl Ccy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nomura Fds Emerg Mrkt Lcl Ccy has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Nomura Fds Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.14
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.01
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =46.91
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.040268

    Nomura Fds Alerts

    Nomura Fds Alerts and Suggestions

    Nomura Fds Emerg is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 46.18% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
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