Tokio Marine (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000W8XM -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 108.90  1.60  1.45%

    Tokio Marine probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Tokio Marine Japanese Equity Focus M Hdg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Tokio Marine time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Tokio Marine odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Tokio Marine Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     108.90 30 days 108.90  ABOUT 22.63%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokio Marine to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.63% (This Tokio Marine Japanese Equity Focus M Hdg probability density function shows the probability of Tokio Marine Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Tokio Marine Japanese Equity Focus M Hdg has beta of -0.1366 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Tokio Marine are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Tokio Marine Japanese Equity Focus M Hdg is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Tokio Marine Japanese is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Tokio Marine Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.12
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.14
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =54.39
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.05

    Tokio Marine Alerts and Suggestions

    Tokio Marine is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 10.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
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