Tokio Marine (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000W8XM -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 108.90  1.60  1.45%

    Tokio Marine probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Tokio Marine Japanese Equity Focus M Hdg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Tokio Marine time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Tokio Marine odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Refresh Odds

    Tokio Marine Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     108.90 30 days 108.90  ABOUT 22.63%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokio Marine to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.63% (This Tokio Marine Japanese Equity Focus M Hdg probability density function shows the probability of Tokio Marine Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Tokio Marine Japanese Equity Focus M Hdg has beta of -0.1366 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Tokio Marine are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Tokio Marine Japanese Equity Focus M Hdg is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Tokio Marine Japanese is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Tokio Marine Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.14
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.05

    Tokio Marine Alerts and Suggestions

    Tokio Marine is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 10.97% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash