TIAA Emerging (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000WGGL -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 23.02  0.05  0.22%

    TIAA Emerging probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of TIAA Emerging Markets Dbt A USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify TIAA Emerging time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like TIAA Emerging odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    TIAA Emerging Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     23.02 30 days 23.02  ABOUT 43.39%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of TIAA Emerging to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 43.39% (This TIAA Emerging Markets Dbt A USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of TIAA Emerging Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, TIAA Emerging has beta of 0.1519 suggesting as returns on market go up, TIAA Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding TIAA Emerging Markets Dbt A USD Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TIAA Emerging Markets Dbt A USD Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     TIAA Emerging Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.27
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.15
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =7.08
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.4

    TIAA Emerging Alerts

    TIAA Emerging Alerts and Suggestions
    TIAA Emerging generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 95.21% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.