EQMC Europe (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000WKK1 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 1.90  0.02  1.06%

    EQMC Europe probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of EQMC Europe Development Capital F performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify EQMC Europe time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like EQMC Europe odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    EQMC Europe Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1.90 30 days 1.90  ABOUT 1.93%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of EQMC Europe to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 1.93% (This EQMC Europe Development Capital F probability density function shows the probability of EQMC Europe Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, EQMC Europe has beta of 0.0559 suggesting as returns on market go up, EQMC Europe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding EQMC Europe Development Capital F will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EQMC Europe Development Capital F has an alpha of 0.0083 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0083% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     EQMC Europe Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.00834
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.06
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.75
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.77

    EQMC Europe Alerts

    EQMC Europe Alerts and Suggestions
    EQMC Europe generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    EQMC Europe may become a speculative penny stock
    The fund retains 97.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and etfs managed around the world.