EQMC Europe (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000WKK1 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 1.55  0.04  2.52%

    EQMC Europe probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of EQMC Europe Development Capital F performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify EQMC Europe time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like EQMC Europe odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    EQMC Europe Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1.55 30 days 1.55  ABOUT 26.89%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of EQMC Europe to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 26.89% (This EQMC Europe Development Capital F probability density function shows the probability of EQMC Europe Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, EQMC Europe Development Capital F has beta of -0.0701 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding EQMC Europe are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, EQMC Europe Development Capital F is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0146 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0146% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     EQMC Europe Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.014558
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.07
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.97
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.1

    EQMC Europe Alerts and Suggestions

    EQMC Europe is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    EQMC Europe generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    EQMC Europe may become a speculative penny stock
    The fund retains 97.06% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    EQMC EuropePrice Density Drivers

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