Colchester Global (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000WM2Q -- Ireland Fund  

    SGD 11.20  0.02  0.18%

    Colchester Global probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Colchester Global Bond H SGD Hd Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Colchester Global time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Colchester Global odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Colchester Global Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.20 30 days 11.20  ABOUT 28.06%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Colchester Global to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 28.06% (This Colchester Global Bond H SGD Hd Acc probability density function shows the probability of Colchester Global Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Colchester Global has beta of 0.0456 suggesting as returns on market go up, Colchester Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Colchester Global Bond H SGD Hd Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Colchester Global Bond H SGD Hd Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Colchester Global Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.04
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0456
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.15
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.37

    Colchester Global Alerts

    Colchester Global Alerts and Suggestions

    Colchester Global is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Colchester Global generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 34.2% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Colchester Global Health Indicators

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