Colchester Lcl (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000WM32 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 10.72  0.20  1.90%

    Colchester Lcl probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Colchester Lcl Mkts Rl Ret Bd A USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Colchester Lcl time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Colchester Lcl odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Colchester Lcl Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.72 30 days 10.72  ABOUT 32.67%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Colchester Lcl to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 32.67% (This Colchester Lcl Mkts Rl Ret Bd A USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of Colchester Lcl Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Colchester Lcl Mkts Rl Ret Bd A USD Acc has beta of -0.1079 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Colchester Lcl are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Colchester Lcl Mkts Rl Ret Bd A USD Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Colchester Lcl Mkts is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Colchester Lcl Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.1
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.11
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4.49
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.12

    Colchester Lcl Alerts and Suggestions

    Colchester Lcl Mkts is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Colchester Lcl Mkts generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 32.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Colchester LclPrice Density Drivers

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