Colchester Lcl (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F00000WM32 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 10.10  0.09  0.90%

    Colchester Lcl probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Colchester Lcl Mkts Rl Ret Bd A USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Colchester Lcl time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Colchester Lcl odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Colchester Lcl Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.10 30 days 10.10  ABOUT 31.02%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Colchester Lcl to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 31.02% (This Colchester Lcl Mkts Rl Ret Bd A USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of Colchester Lcl Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Colchester Lcl has beta of 0.2237 suggesting as returns on market go up, Colchester Lcl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Colchester Lcl Mkts Rl Ret Bd A USD Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Colchester Lcl Mkts Rl Ret Bd A USD Acc has an alpha of 0.0446 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0446% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Colchester Lcl Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.044578
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.22
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.65
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.03

    Colchester Lcl Alerts

    Colchester Lcl Alerts and Suggestions
    Colchester Lcl Mkts generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 32.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.