Harding Loevner (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000WZ4J -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 156.00  2.00  1.30%

    Harding Loevner probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Harding Loevner Global Equity GBP I performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Harding Loevner time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Harding Loevner odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
    Refresh Odds

    Harding Loevner Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     156.00 30 days 156.00  ABOUT 12.72%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Harding Loevner to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 12.72% (This Harding Loevner Global Equity GBP I probability density function shows the probability of Harding Loevner Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Harding Loevner Global Equity GBP I has beta of -0.035 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Harding Loevner are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Harding Loevner Global Equity GBP I is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Harding Loevner Global Equity GBP I has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Harding Loevner Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.0078
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.04
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =81.09
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.1

    Harding Loevner Alerts

    Harding Loevner Alerts and Suggestions

    Harding Loevner is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Harding Loevner generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains 97.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Harding Loevner Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
    Search macroaxis.com