Harding Loevner (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000WZ4K -- Ireland Fund  

    SGD 1.49  0.02  1.32%

    Harding Loevner probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Harding Loevner Global Equity SGD M performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Harding Loevner time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Harding Loevner odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Harding Loevner Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1.49 30 days 1.49  ABOUT 30.88%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Harding Loevner to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 30.88% (This Harding Loevner Global Equity SGD M probability density function shows the probability of Harding Loevner Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Harding Loevner Global Equity SGD M has beta of -0.5929 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Harding Loevner are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Harding Loevner Global Equity SGD M is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Harding Loevner Global Equity SGD M has an alpha of 0.5214 implying that it can potentially generate 0.5214% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Harding Loevner Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.52
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.59
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.58
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.29

    Harding Loevner Alerts

    Harding Loevner Alerts and Suggestions

    Harding Loevner is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Harding Loevner may become a speculative penny stock
    The fund retains 97.31% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    Harding Loevner Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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