GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000X00E -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 10.33  0.00  0.00%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Cat Bond A EUR Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.33 30 days 10.33  ABOUT 35.32%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 35.32% (This GAM Star Cat Bond A EUR Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star has beta of 0.0128 suggesting as returns on market go up, GAM Star average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GAM Star Cat Bond A EUR Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GAM Star Cat Bond A EUR Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     GAM Star Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.08
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0128
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =3.77
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.12

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star Cat is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    GAM Star Cat generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 33.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    GAM Star Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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