Legg Mason (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000X2II -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 114.10  0.88  0.77%

    Legg Mason probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Legg Mason MC Eurp Abs Alpha F USD H Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Legg Mason time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Legg Mason odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Legg Mason Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     114.10 30 days 114.10  ABOUT 13.54%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Legg Mason to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 13.54% (This Legg Mason MC Eurp Abs Alpha F USD H Acc probability density function shows the probability of Legg Mason Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Legg Mason has beta of 0.2607 suggesting as returns on market go up, Legg Mason average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Legg Mason MC Eurp Abs Alpha F USD H Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Legg Mason MC Eurp Abs Alpha F USD H Acc has an alpha of 0.2548 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2548% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Legg Mason Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.25
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.26
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =2.48
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.39

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    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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