Incline Global (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F00000X62E -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 1,140  35.50  3.02%

    Incline Global probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Incline Global LS Eq UCITS E USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Incline Global time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Incline Global odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Incline Global Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,140 30 days 1,140  ABOUT 8.96%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Incline Global to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 8.96% (This Incline Global LS Eq UCITS E USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of Incline Global Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Incline Global has beta of 0.0187 suggesting as returns on market go up, Incline Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Incline Global LS Eq UCITS E USD Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Incline Global LS Eq UCITS E USD Acc has an alpha of 0.0521 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0521% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Incline Global Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.05
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0187
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =14.63
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.22

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    Incline Global LS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data

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    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot price ceiling movement for different equity instruments.
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