Perkins US (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0GBR04CLQ -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 25.08  0.24  0.95%

    Perkins US probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Perkins US Strategic Value A USD Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Perkins US time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Perkins US odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Perkins US Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     25.08 30 days 25.08  ABOUT 29.69%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Perkins US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 29.69% (This Perkins US Strategic Value A USD Acc probability density function shows the probability of Perkins US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Perkins US has beta of 0.0236 suggesting as returns on market go up, Perkins US average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Perkins US Strategic Value A USD Acc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Perkins US Strategic Value A USD Acc has an alpha of 0.1994 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1994% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Perkins US Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.20
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0236
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =12.19
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.32

    Perkins US Alerts

    Perkins US Alerts and Suggestions

    Perkins US Strategic is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 6.02% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
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