Lindsell Train (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0GBR04FKP -- Ireland Fund  

    JPY 470.67  4.86  1.04%

    Lindsell Train probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Lindsell Train Japanese Eq A Yen performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Lindsell Train time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Lindsell Train odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Lindsell Train Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     470.67 30 days 470.67  ABOUT 21.99%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Lindsell Train to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 21.99% (This Lindsell Train Japanese Eq A Yen probability density function shows the probability of Lindsell Train Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Lindsell Train has beta of 0.5214 suggesting as returns on market go up, Lindsell Train average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Lindsell Train Japanese Eq A Yen will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Lindsell Train Japanese is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Lindsell Train Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.03
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.52
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =253.73
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.03

    Lindsell Train Alerts

    Lindsell Train Alerts and Suggestions

    Lindsell Train is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 5.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Lindsell Train Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
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