Janus US (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0GBR04J1E -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 10.99  0.02  0.18%

    Janus US probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Janus US Short Term Bnd I USD performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Janus US time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Janus US odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
    Symbol:
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    Janus US Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.99 30 days 10.99  ABOUT 25.29%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Janus US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.29% (This Janus US Short Term Bnd I USD probability density function shows the probability of Janus US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Janus US has beta of 0.0069 suggesting as returns on market go up, Janus US average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Janus US Short Term Bnd I USD will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Janus US Short Term Bnd I USD has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     Janus US Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.02
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0069
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.24
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.06

    Janus US Alerts

    Janus US Alerts and Suggestions

    Janus US Short is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 16.6% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Chance of Distress module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
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