GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0GBR04SL2 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 267.79  21.20  7.34%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star European Equity EUR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     267.79 30 days 267.79  ABOUT 40.07%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 40.07% (This GAM Star European Equity EUR probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star European Equity EUR has beta of -0.1807 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GAM Star are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, GAM Star European Equity EUR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GAM Star European Equity EUR has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     GAM Star Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.04
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.18
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =159.37
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.007824

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions

    GAM Star European is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    GAM Star European generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    GAM Star European has high historical volatility and very poor performance
    The fund retains 98.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try ETF Directory module to find actively-traded exchange traded funds (etf) from around the world.
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