GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F0GBR04SL2 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 328.83  0.94  0.28%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star European Equity EUR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     328.83 30 days 328.83  ABOUT 20.41%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.41% (This GAM Star European Equity EUR probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star European Equity EUR has beta of -0.1217 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GAM Star are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, GAM Star European Equity EUR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GAM Star European Equity EUR has an alpha of 0.099 implying that it can potentially generate 0.099% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     GAM Star Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.1
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.12
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =169.53
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.02

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains 98.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.