GAM Star (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    F0GBR04SL3 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBp 443.00  3.00  0.68%

    GAM Star probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of GAM Star Asia Pacific Equity GBP Acc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify GAM Star time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GAM Star odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    GAM Star Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     443.00 30 days 443.00  ABOUT 16.33%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of GAM Star to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 16.33% (This GAM Star Asia Pacific Equity GBP Acc probability density function shows the probability of GAM Star Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, GAM Star Asia Pacific Equity GBP Acc has beta of -0.4036 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GAM Star are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, GAM Star Asia Pacific Equity GBP Acc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GAM Star Asia Pacific Equity GBP Acc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     GAM Star Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.05
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.4
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =229.60
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.19

    GAM Star Alerts

    GAM Star Alerts and Suggestions
    The fund retains 97.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing money flow index and other technical indicators.
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