First State (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0GBR060S8 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 59.96  1.84  2.98%

    First State probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of First State Indian Subcontinent II performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify First State time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like First State odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    First State Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     59.96 30 days 59.96  ABOUT 23.04%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of First State to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.04% (This First State Indian Subcontinent II probability density function shows the probability of First State Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, First State has beta of 0.0 suggesting the returns on DOW and First State do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
     First State Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.00
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.00

    First State Alerts and Suggestions

    First State Indian is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 8.41% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    First StatePrice Density Drivers