Mediolanum (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0GBR065BK -- Ireland Fund  

     12.14  0.04  0.33%

    Mediolanum probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Mediolanum BB Pacific Collection S H performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Mediolanum time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Mediolanum odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Mediolanum Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     12.14 30 days 12.14  ROUGHLY 2.1%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Mediolanum to move above current price in 30 days from now is roughly 2.1% (This Mediolanum BB Pacific Collection S H probability density function shows the probability of Mediolanum Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Mediolanum BB Pacific Collection S H has beta of -0.0373 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Mediolanum are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Mediolanum BB Pacific Collection S H is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mediolanum BB Pacific Collection S H has an alpha of 0.1602 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1602% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Mediolanum Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.16
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.04
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.10
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.83

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