Mediolanum (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0GBR065BK -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 10.64  0.40  3.62%

    Mediolanum probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Mediolanum BB Pacific Collection S H performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Mediolanum time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Mediolanum odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Mediolanum Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.64 30 days 10.64  CLOSE TO 99%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Mediolanum to move above current price in 30 days from now is close to 99% (This Mediolanum BB Pacific Collection S H probability density function shows the probability of Mediolanum Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Mediolanum BB Pacific Collection S H has beta of -0.386 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Mediolanum are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Mediolanum BB Pacific Collection S H is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Mediolanum BB Pacific is significantly underperforming DOW.
     Mediolanum Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.19
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.39
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.29
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.14

    Mediolanum Alerts

    Mediolanum Alerts and Suggestions

    Mediolanum is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Mediolanum generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund retains about 7.52% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Mediolanum Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Bollinger Bands module to use bollinger bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
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