Oasis Crescent (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    F0GBR066PV -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 8.28  0.20  2.36%

    Oasis Crescent probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Oasis Crescent Glbl Property Eq A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Oasis Crescent time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Oasis Crescent odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Oasis Crescent Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     8.28 30 days 8.28  ABOUT 23.33%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Oasis Crescent to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.33% (This Oasis Crescent Glbl Property Eq A probability density function shows the probability of Oasis Crescent Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Oasis Crescent Glbl Property Eq A has beta of -0.0671 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Oasis Crescent are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Oasis Crescent Glbl Property Eq A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0311 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0311% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Oasis Crescent Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.031107
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.07
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4.82
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.08

    Oasis Crescent Alerts

    Oasis Crescent Alerts and Suggestions

    Oasis Crescent Glbl is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund retains about 6.08% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Oasis Crescent Health Indicators

    Additionally see Investing Opportunities. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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