Sahara Infrastructure (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

F0GBR06R5P -- India Fund  

INR 18.48  0.38  2.01%

Sahara Infrastructure probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Sahara Infrastructure Fixed Pric Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Sahara Infrastructure time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Sahara Infrastructure odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Sahara Infrastructure Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 18.48 30 days 18.48  ABOUT 30.82%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Sahara Infrastructure to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 30.82% (This Sahara Infrastructure Fixed Pric Div probability density function shows the probability of Sahara Infrastructure Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Sahara Infrastructure has beta of 0.1588 suggesting as returns on market go up, Sahara Infrastructure average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Sahara Infrastructure Fixed Pric Div will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0896 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0896% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Sahara Infrastructure Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.09
β
Beta against DOW=0.16
σ
Overall volatility
=6.20
Ir
Information ratio =0.12

Sahara Infrastructure Alerts and Suggestions

Sahara Infrastructure is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
The fund retains about 7.56% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Sahara InfrastructurePrice Density Drivers

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