Sahara Infrastructure (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

F0GBR06R5P -- India Fund  

INR 18.57  0.38  2.01%

Sahara Infrastructure probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Sahara Infrastructure Fixed Pric Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Sahara Infrastructure time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Sahara Infrastructure odds to be computed. Additionally see Investing Opportunities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Sahara Infrastructure Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 18.57 30 days 18.57  ABOUT 27.3%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Sahara Infrastructure to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.3% (This Sahara Infrastructure Fixed Pric Div probability density function shows the probability of Sahara Infrastructure Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Sahara Infrastructure Fixed Pric Div has beta of -0.3488 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Sahara Infrastructure are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Sahara Infrastructure Fixed Pric Div is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sahara Infrastructure Fixed Pric Div has an alpha of 0.1274 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1274% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Sahara Infrastructure Price Density 
 
      
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.13
β
Beta against DOW=0.35
σ
Overall volatility
=8.45
Ir
Information ratio =0.003221

Sahara Infrastructure Alerts

Sahara Infrastructure Alerts and Suggestions

Sahara Infrastructure generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The fund retains about 6.12% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Price Density Drivers

Sahara Infrastructure Health Indicators

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